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Red133
492031.5
293544.5
263429.5
Blue50
356018.8
956215.8
430827.0
91%Model gave it9%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9454020408012014013350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+55Teleop
+65Endgame
+83Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave9
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points4
23Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +45
11Coral scored#7
38Coral points25
2Processor algae#0
7Net algae#2
12Processor points0
28Net points8
40Algae points8
78Total teleop33
Reef
4L4#4
5L3#2
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#10
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +83
18Foul points0
133Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.54.0
32.536.5
Auto9.8
Teleop32.8
End2.0
red by 17.5
4308
#19
27.00.2
20.420.1
Auto7.0
Teleop18.8
End1.2
Second
4920
#11
31.54.0
24.228.2
Auto7.6
Teleop20.8
End3.2
red by 12.7
3560
#28
18.80.2
15.415.2
Auto3.8
Teleop12.3
End2.6
Third
2634
#18
29.54.0
22.226.2
Auto2.7
Teleop23.8
End3.1
red by 13.8
9562
#21
15.80.2
16.316.1
Auto3.4
Teleop11.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsMissed