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Red68
1027921.2
697518.2
85419.0
Blue94
672528.8
1002719.1
957519.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions526301001506894

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+28
Endgame+26
Fouls+26
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points7
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +21
11Coral scored#16
41Coral points56
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
0Processor points6
12Net points12
12Algae points18
53Total teleop74
Reef
5L4#6
3L3#4
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#21
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points0
68Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.20.0
12.912.9
Auto6.5
Teleop12.9
End1.9
blue by 7.5
28.82.4
20.422.8
Auto6.9
Teleop20.4
End1.5
Second
854
#6
19.00.0
13.813.8
Auto3.9
Teleop10.4
End4.7
blue by 0.9
9575
#24
19.91.4
17.819.2
Auto4.3
Teleop14.1
End1.5
Third
6975
#22
18.20.1
21.521.5
Auto2.4
Teleop14.0
End1.9
blue by 0.9
19.11.4
15.316.7
Auto6.5
Teleop13.0
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsMissed