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Red51
663220.3
430827.0
492031.5
Blue59
497647.0
1063415.4
639717.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69695560655159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+10
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave6
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +3
8Coral scored#6
28Coral points21
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
0Processor points6
8Net points12
8Algae points18
36Total teleop39
Reef
3L4#2
3L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#12
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points0
51Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4920
#11
31.51.4
28.226.8
Auto7.6
Teleop20.8
End3.2
blue by 15.4
47.00.4
39.038.6
Auto14.2
Teleop31.4
End1.4
Second
4308
#19
27.01.4
20.118.7
Auto7.0
Teleop18.8
End1.2
red by 9.7
6397
#17
17.30.4
15.915.4
Auto1.7
Teleop14.5
End1.1
Third
6632
#25
20.31.4
15.414.0
Auto3.0
Teleop14.5
End2.8
red by 4.8
15.40.4
10.39.9
Auto5.6
Teleop9.8
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsMissed38%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed4%Barge oddsMissed