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Red119
755860.9
956215.8
571923.2
Blue63
356018.8
965916.8
978215.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1112705010015020011963

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+48Teleop
+58Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
4Coral points3
13Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +47
12Coral scored#4
44Coral points15
3Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
18Processor points0
8Net points8
26Algae points8
70Total teleop23
Reef
5L4#2
4L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#7
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +56
22Foul points24
119Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.90.2
51.451.1
Auto14.8
Teleop35.3
End10.8
red by 42.1
3560
#28
18.80.4
15.214.8
Auto3.8
Teleop12.3
End2.6
Second
5719
#20
23.20.2
25.024.8
Auto5.2
Teleop15.6
End2.4
red by 6.4
9659
#16
16.80.2
9.29.0
Auto4.5
Teleop11.0
End1.3
Third
9562
#21
15.80.4
16.115.7
Auto3.4
Teleop11.3
End1.1
blue by 0.1
9782
#12
15.90.2
9.29.0
Auto3.7
Teleop11.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsMissed21%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsEarned10%Barge oddsMissed