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Red158
752052.8
503230.7
885021.6
Blue116
316141.6
263429.5
978537.5
59%Model gave it41%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions918350100150158116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+12Teleop
+18Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave3
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points10
19Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +6
16Coral scored#22
59Coral points79
3Processor algae#2
8Net algae#3
18Processor points12
32Net points12
50Algae points24
109Total teleop103
Reef
8L4#10
4L3#7
5L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
30Game pieces#29
BargeRed +6
6Cage & park0
6Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
24Foul points0
158Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.82.8
43.446.2
Auto15.9
Teleop35.0
End1.9
red by 11.2
3161
#15
41.63.1
29.232.3
Auto10.0
Teleop29.3
End2.2
Second
30.72.8
24.327.0
Auto4.4
Teleop25.4
End1.0
blue by 6.8
37.51.9
21.523.4
Auto8.0
Teleop27.6
End1.9
Third
8850
#14
21.62.8
13.716.5
Auto4.6
Teleop15.5
End1.4
blue by 8.0
2634
#18
29.53.1
26.229.3
Auto2.7
Teleop23.8
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
6%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsMissed