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Red117
978537.5
263429.5
978215.9
Blue84
430827.0
885021.6
1027921.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7555204010012014011784

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+35Teleop
+33Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave0
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points13
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +39
24Coral scored#16
88Coral points57
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
106Total teleop67
Reef
9L4#6
7L3#6
5L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
0Foul points0
117Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.52.7
23.426.1
Auto8.0
Teleop27.6
End1.9
red by 10.5
4308
#19
27.02.3
18.721.0
Auto7.0
Teleop18.8
End1.2
Second
2634
#18
29.54.3
29.333.6
Auto2.7
Teleop23.8
End3.1
red by 8.0
8850
#14
21.61.5
16.517.9
Auto4.6
Teleop15.5
End1.4
Third
9782
#12
15.92.7
9.011.7
Auto3.7
Teleop11.4
End0.8
blue by 5.4
21.21.5
12.914.3
Auto6.5
Teleop12.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed25%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsMissed