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Red116
1063415.4
293544.5
316141.6
Blue48
713617.8
672528.8
697518.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93672040608010012014016011648

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+68Teleop
+68Endgame
+68Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave6
3Coral scored#0
17Coral points0
23Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +51
14Coral scored#9
49Coral points32
3Processor algae#0
6Net algae#2
18Processor points0
24Net points8
42Algae points8
91Total teleop40
Reef
5L4#5
5L3#1
5L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +68
0Foul points0
116Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.53.7
37.941.6
Auto9.8
Teleop32.8
End2.0
red by 15.8
28.81.4
22.821.4
Auto6.9
Teleop20.4
End1.5
Second
3161
#15
41.63.7
32.336.0
Auto10.0
Teleop29.3
End2.2
red by 23.4
6975
#22
18.21.3
21.520.2
Auto2.4
Teleop14.0
End1.9
Third
15.42.4
9.912.3
Auto5.6
Teleop9.8
End0.1
blue by 2.4
7136
#26
17.81.3
16.014.7
Auto3.6
Teleop13.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned31%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed