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Red38
571923.2
639717.3
957519.9
Blue142
672528.8
752052.8
755860.9
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55144010020038142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+35
Teleop+88
Endgame+102
Fouls+104
AutonomousBlue +35
9Leave6
0Coral scored#8
0Coral points38
9Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +53
6Coral scored#14
23Coral points52
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
0Processor points12
4Net points16
4Algae points28
27Total teleop80
Reef
2L4#8
2L3#5
1L2#6
1L1 · trough#3
7Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +104
0Foul points2
38Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5719
#20
23.21.5
24.523.0
Auto5.2
Teleop15.6
End2.4
blue by 37.7
60.91.1
52.653.7
Auto14.8
Teleop35.3
End10.8
Second
9575
#24
19.91.5
19.618.1
Auto4.3
Teleop14.1
End1.5
blue by 32.9
52.81.1
49.050.1
Auto15.9
Teleop35.0
End1.9
Third
6397
#17
17.31.5
16.915.3
Auto1.7
Teleop14.5
End1.1
blue by 11.5
28.81.8
21.423.2
Auto6.9
Teleop20.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
18%Auto oddsMissed88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
7%Barge oddsMissed79%Barge oddsEarned