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Red78
85419.0
356018.8
926218.5
Blue61
430827.0
263429.5
697518.2
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions499001001502007861

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+13
Endgame+3
+17Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
6Total auto10
TeleoperatedBlue +9
6Coral scored#10
20Coral points37
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
38Total teleop47
Reef
2L4#5
2L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#14
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
20Foul points0
78Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
854
#6
19.00.8
14.315.1
Auto3.9
Teleop10.4
End4.7
blue by 10.5
2634
#18
29.51.3
33.632.3
Auto2.7
Teleop23.8
End3.1
Second
3560
#28
18.81.3
17.118.5
Auto3.8
Teleop12.3
End2.6
blue by 8.2
4308
#19
27.01.3
21.019.7
Auto7.0
Teleop18.8
End1.2
Third
9262
#10
18.50.8
13.914.7
Auto6.8
Teleop9.4
End2.4
red by 0.2
6975
#22
18.21.3
20.218.9
Auto2.4
Teleop14.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed34%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsMissed