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Qual 432025 ONT District Humber Polytechnic Event
Red88
965916.8
1027921.2
492031.5
Blue106
503230.7
316141.6
1002719.1
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6310305015020088106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+20
Endgame+22
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
3Coral scored#5
17Coral points26
23Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +17
12Coral scored#16
43Coral points58
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
61Total teleop78
Reef
6L4#6
4L3#6
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
19Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +2
0Cage & park2
0Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
4Foul points0
88Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4920
#11
31.52.1
26.8→29.0
Auto7.6
Teleop20.8
End3.2
blue by 10.1
3161
#15
41.61.4
37.7→39.1
Auto10.0
Teleop29.3
End2.2
Second
10279
#23
21.21.5
13.5→15.0
Auto6.5
Teleop12.9
End1.9
blue by 9.5
5032
#4
30.71.0
27.7→28.8
Auto4.4
Teleop25.4
End1.0
Third
9659
#16
16.81.5
13.2→14.7
Auto4.5
Teleop11.0
End1.3
blue by 2.3
10027
#13
19.11.0
16.7→17.7
Auto6.5
Teleop13.0
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed8%Barge oddsMissed