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Red117
356018.8
755860.9
293544.5
Blue123
497647.0
492031.5
85419.0
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1288650100150200117123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+6Teleop
+6Endgame
Fouls+6
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave6
6Coral scored#6
30Coral points31
30Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +13
15Coral scored#10
53Coral points36
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
12Processor points12
8Net points12
20Algae points24
73Total teleop60
Reef
7L4#8
7L3#4
3L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points12
117Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.90.2
54.754.9
Auto14.8
Teleop35.3
End10.8
red by 13.9
47.01.9
40.242.1
Auto14.2
Teleop31.4
End1.4
Second
44.50.3
41.241.4
Auto9.8
Teleop32.8
End2.0
red by 13.0
4920
#11
31.52.5
29.031.5
Auto7.6
Teleop20.8
End3.2
Third
3560
#28
18.80.3
17.918.2
Auto3.8
Teleop12.3
End2.6
blue by 0.2
854
#6
19.01.9
13.515.4
Auto3.9
Teleop10.4
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsEarned