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Red50
978215.9
713617.8
401515.1
Blue63
957519.9
1063415.4
965916.8
47%Model gave it53%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions525801001502005063

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+15
Endgame+13
Fouls+13
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +15
6Coral scored#10
21Coral points36
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
35Total teleop50
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#2
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#14
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points0
50Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7136
#26
17.80.1
15.415.3
Auto3.6
Teleop13.0
End1.2
blue by 2.1
9575
#24
19.90.7
17.718.4
Auto4.3
Teleop14.1
End1.5
Second
9782
#12
15.90.1
13.012.9
Auto3.7
Teleop11.4
End0.8
blue by 1.0
9659
#16
16.80.7
14.715.4
Auto4.5
Teleop11.0
End1.3
Third
4015
#27
15.10.1
16.816.7
Auto4.6
Teleop9.4
End1.2
blue by 0.3
15.40.7
14.715.4
Auto5.6
Teleop9.8
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsMissed40%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed7%Barge oddsMissed