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Red121
978537.5
1002719.1
430827.0
Blue97
926218.5
672528.8
316141.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7893020030040050012197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+26Teleop
+26Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave6
4Coral scored#5
18Coral points24
27Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +29
21Coral scored#12
74Coral points43
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
12Processor points6
4Net points12
16Algae points18
90Total teleop61
Reef
7L4#7
6L3#3
7L2#5
5L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
0Foul points2
121Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.53.3
31.134.4
Auto8.0
Teleop27.6
End1.9
blue by 4.1
3161
#15
41.61.1
39.140.2
Auto10.0
Teleop29.3
End2.2
Second
4308
#19
27.04.1
22.326.4
Auto7.0
Teleop18.8
End1.2
blue by 1.8
28.81.2
26.027.3
Auto6.9
Teleop20.4
End1.5
Third
19.13.3
17.721.0
Auto6.5
Teleop13.0
End-0.3
red by 0.6
9262
#10
18.50.9
16.117.0
Auto6.8
Teleop9.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
6%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed