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Red81
697518.2
497647.0
503230.7
Blue53
263429.5
85419.0
571923.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1048440601201401608153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+42Teleop
+28Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +39
12Coral scored#6
44Coral points23
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#0
12Processor points6
12Net points0
24Algae points6
68Total teleop29
Reef
4L4#2
4L3#2
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
2Foul points2
81Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.00.8
41.040.2
Auto14.2
Teleop31.4
End1.4
red by 17.4
2634
#18
29.52.1
32.330.1
Auto2.7
Teleop23.8
End3.1
Second
30.70.8
28.827.9
Auto4.4
Teleop25.4
End1.0
red by 7.5
5719
#20
23.21.6
25.123.5
Auto5.2
Teleop15.6
End2.4
Third
6975
#22
18.21.1
18.917.8
Auto2.4
Teleop14.0
End1.9
blue by 0.7
854
#6
19.01.6
15.113.5
Auto3.9
Teleop10.4
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsMissed15%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsEarned