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Red44
1002719.1
263429.5
401515.1
Blue64
639717.3
571923.2
430827.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77764555657075804464

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+20
Endgame+20
Fouls+20
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave0
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points13
16Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +23
6Coral scored#7
22Coral points25
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
0Processor points12
4Net points12
4Algae points24
26Total teleop49
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#4
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points0
44Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2634
#18
29.51.9
30.128.2
Auto2.7
Teleop23.8
End3.1
red by 2.5
4308
#19
27.00.2
26.426.2
Auto7.0
Teleop18.8
End1.2
Second
19.11.6
21.019.5
Auto6.5
Teleop13.0
End-0.3
blue by 4.1
5719
#20
23.20.2
23.523.3
Auto5.2
Teleop15.6
End2.4
Third
4015
#27
15.11.6
16.715.1
Auto4.6
Teleop9.4
End1.2
blue by 2.2
6397
#17
17.30.2
17.317.1
Auto1.7
Teleop14.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed9%Barge oddsMissed