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Red96
293544.5
926218.5
965916.8
Blue162
85419.0
755860.9
978537.5
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions721195010015020096162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+44
Endgame+66
Fouls+66
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave9
6Coral scored#4
30Coral points21
33Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +47
10Coral scored#20
35Coral points72
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
12Processor points18
12Net points16
24Algae points34
59Total teleop106
Reef
7L4#7
3L3#8
3L2#6
3L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +66
0Foul points0
96Total score162

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.51.2
41.442.6
Auto9.8
Teleop32.8
End2.0
blue by 16.4
60.93.2
54.958.1
Auto14.8
Teleop35.3
End10.8
Second
9262
#10
18.51.1
17.018.1
Auto6.8
Teleop9.4
End2.4
blue by 19.0
37.53.2
34.437.6
Auto8.0
Teleop27.6
End1.9
Third
9659
#16
16.81.1
15.416.5
Auto4.5
Teleop11.0
End1.3
blue by 2.2
854
#6
19.03.2
15.418.6
Auto3.9
Teleop10.4
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed89%Barge oddsEarned