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Red31
956215.8
978537.5
713617.8
Blue95
430827.0
752052.8
497647.0
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5610501502003195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+31
Teleop+56
Endgame+58
Fouls+64
AutonomousBlue +31
0Leave6
1Coral scored#6
6Coral points31
6Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +25
4Coral scored#9
15Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
25Total teleop50
Reef
2L4#7
1L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
7Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +2
0Cage & park2
0Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +64
0Foul points6
31Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.51.6
18.316.7
Auto8.0
Teleop27.6
End1.9
blue by 15.3
52.80.2
40.640.4
Auto15.9
Teleop35.0
End1.9
Second
7136
#26
17.82.7
19.216.5
Auto3.6
Teleop13.0
End1.2
blue by 29.2
47.00.2
29.529.3
Auto14.2
Teleop31.4
End1.4
Third
9562
#21
15.82.7
17.915.2
Auto3.4
Teleop11.3
End1.1
blue by 11.2
4308
#19
27.00.3
21.821.5
Auto7.0
Teleop18.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsMissed73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed