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Red44
978215.9
926218.5
672528.8
Blue43
1063415.4
356018.8
263429.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4766020801001201401604443

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+5
+1Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave6
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +8
4Coral scored#6
15Coral points21
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
23Total teleop31
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#1
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#8
BargeRed +6
6Cage & park0
6Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
6Foul points6
44Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.81.2
19.818.7
Auto6.9
Teleop20.4
End1.5
blue by 0.8
2634
#18
29.52.6
27.024.4
Auto2.7
Teleop23.8
End3.1
Second
9262
#10
18.50.7
14.013.3
Auto6.8
Teleop9.4
End2.4
blue by 0.3
3560
#28
18.82.6
17.314.7
Auto3.8
Teleop12.3
End2.6
Third
9782
#12
15.90.7
8.67.9
Auto3.7
Teleop11.4
End0.8
red by 0.4
15.41.6
11.09.5
Auto5.6
Teleop9.8
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsMissed