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Red36
571923.2
885021.6
401515.1
Blue48
663220.3
639717.3
85419.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5750304070803648

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+12
Endgame+12
Fouls+12
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave9
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +9
5Coral scored#7
18Coral points25
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
26Total teleop35
Reef
2L4#2
1L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#9
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points0
36Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5719
#20
23.20.9
22.321.5
Auto5.2
Teleop15.6
End2.4
red by 2.9
6632
#25
20.30.3
17.918.3
Auto3.0
Teleop14.5
End2.8
Second
8850
#14
21.60.9
12.111.3
Auto4.6
Teleop15.5
End1.4
red by 2.6
854
#6
19.00.2
13.613.8
Auto3.9
Teleop10.4
End4.7
Third
4015
#27
15.10.9
14.713.9
Auto4.6
Teleop9.4
End1.2
blue by 2.2
6397
#17
17.30.2
13.413.6
Auto1.7
Teleop14.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
18%Auto oddsMissed17%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
7%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed