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Red88
956215.8
316141.6
752052.8
Blue47
965916.8
697518.2
430827.0
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107410501502008847

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+41Teleop
+41Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
9Leave6
5Coral scored#1
24Coral points3
33Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +17
8Coral scored#7
29Coral points24
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
51Total teleop34
Reef
6L4#4
4L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#10
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
0Foul points0
88Total score47

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.80.1
40.740.6
Auto15.9
Teleop35.0
End1.9
red by 25.8
4308
#19
27.00.5
21.321.8
Auto7.0
Teleop18.8
End1.2
Second
3161
#15
41.60.2
30.930.7
Auto10.0
Teleop29.3
End2.2
red by 23.4
6975
#22
18.20.5
15.315.8
Auto2.4
Teleop14.0
End1.9
Third
9562
#21
15.80.2
18.117.9
Auto3.4
Teleop11.3
End1.1
blue by 1.1
9659
#16
16.80.3
6.36.6
Auto4.5
Teleop11.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned21%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed