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Red109
293544.5
503230.7
713617.8
Blue68
1002719.1
639717.3
263429.5
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1037102040608012014016010968

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+39Teleop
+45Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave0
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points12
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +28
16Coral scored#11
58Coral points40
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
78Total teleop50
Reef
9L4#5
4L3#5
3L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#15
BargeRed +6
6Cage & park0
6Total endgame0
Penalties & totalRed +41
2Foul points6
109Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.50.3
43.143.4
Auto9.8
Teleop32.8
End2.0
red by 15.0
2634
#18
29.50.2
29.729.5
Auto2.7
Teleop23.8
End3.1
Second
30.70.3
29.329.5
Auto4.4
Teleop25.4
End1.0
red by 11.6
19.10.2
19.319.1
Auto6.5
Teleop13.0
End-0.3
Third
7136
#26
17.80.3
16.416.6
Auto3.6
Teleop13.0
End1.2
red by 0.5
6397
#17
17.30.2
17.417.3
Auto1.7
Teleop14.5
End1.1