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Red89
85419.0
316141.6
885021.6
Blue123
956215.8
978537.5
752052.8
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8812105010015020025089123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+36
Endgame+28
Fouls+34
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave6
3Coral scored#5
14Coral points24
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +29
12Coral scored#15
44Coral points55
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
6Processor points12
4Net points16
10Algae points28
54Total teleop83
Reef
4L4#7
4L3#6
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#26
BargeRed +8
12Cage & park4
12Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +34
0Foul points6
89Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3161
#15
41.60.0
41.641.6
Auto10.0
Teleop29.3
End2.2
blue by 11.2
52.80.0
53.053.0
Auto15.9
Teleop35.0
End1.9
Second
8850
#14
21.60.0
21.621.6
Auto4.6
Teleop15.5
End1.4
blue by 16.0
37.50.0
37.637.7
Auto8.0
Teleop27.6
End1.9
Third
854
#6
19.00.0
19.019.0
Auto3.9
Teleop10.4
End4.7
red by 3.2
9562
#21
15.80.0
15.915.9
Auto3.4
Teleop11.3
End1.1