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Red105
978215.9
430827.0
663220.3
Blue96
293544.5
503230.7
713617.8
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6510505015010596

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+15
Endgame+15
+9Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
9Leave0
2Coral scored#3
8Coral points16
17Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +16
12Coral scored#11
42Coral points38
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#5
6Processor points18
12Net points20
18Algae points38
60Total teleop76
Reef
4L4#5
3L3#4
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#22
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +9
24Foul points0
105Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4308
#19
27.00.4
25.726.0
Auto7.0
Teleop18.8
End1.2
blue by 17.5
44.50.0
43.143.1
Auto9.8
Teleop32.8
End2.0
Second
6632
#25
20.30.4
18.919.3
Auto3.0
Teleop14.5
End2.8
blue by 10.4
30.70.0
29.229.3
Auto4.4
Teleop25.4
End1.0
Third
9782
#12
15.90.4
14.514.9
Auto3.7
Teleop11.4
End0.8
blue by 1.9
7136
#26
17.80.0
16.316.4
Auto3.6
Teleop13.0
End1.2