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Red136
1027921.2
755860.9
497647.0
Blue119
85419.0
316141.6
885021.6
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1408550100150200136119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+21Teleop
+21Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave6
8Coral scored#3
38Coral points17
44Total auto23
Teleoperatedlevel
16Coral scored#16
56Coral points58
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
76Total teleop76
Reef
10L4#8
5L3#5
4L2#4
5L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#23
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +17
2Foul points6
136Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.90.2
58.758.9
Auto14.8
Teleop35.3
End10.8
red by 19.3
3161
#15
41.60.7
41.041.6
Auto10.0
Teleop29.3
End2.2
Second
47.00.2
44.845.0
Auto14.2
Teleop31.4
End1.4
red by 25.4
8850
#14
21.60.7
20.921.6
Auto4.6
Teleop15.5
End1.4
Third
21.20.2
19.119.2
Auto6.5
Teleop12.9
End1.9
red by 2.2
854
#6
19.00.7
18.319.0
Auto3.9
Teleop10.4
End4.7