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Red160
956215.8
978537.5
752052.8
Blue67
965916.8
926218.5
672528.8
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1216505010015020016067

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+67Teleop
+69Endgame
+93Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
6Leave9
6Coral scored#1
31Coral points4
37Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +43
20Coral scored#8
73Coral points30
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
12Processor points12
8Net points8
20Algae points20
93Total teleop50
Reef
12L4#4
6L3#2
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
30Game pieces#13
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +93
24Foul points0
160Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.80.5
52.553.0
Auto15.9
Teleop35.0
End1.9
red by 24.1
28.80.1
28.928.8
Auto6.9
Teleop20.4
End1.5
Second
37.50.5
37.137.6
Auto8.0
Teleop27.6
End1.9
red by 19.0
9262
#10
18.50.1
18.618.5
Auto6.8
Teleop9.4
End2.4
Third
9562
#21
15.80.5
15.315.9
Auto3.4
Teleop11.3
End1.1
blue by 1.1
9659
#16
16.80.1
17.016.8
Auto4.5
Teleop11.0
End1.3