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Red165
1027921.2
755860.9
497647.0
Blue52
1002719.1
639717.3
263429.5
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1436605010020016552

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+42Auto
+91Teleop
+99Endgame
+113Fouls
AutonomousRed +42
3Leave6
10Coral scored#1
48Coral points3
51Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +49
18Coral scored#7
66Coral points25
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
88Total teleop39
Reef
10L4#2
9L3#2
6L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
33Game pieces#11
BargeRed +8
12Cage & park4
12Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +113
14Foul points0
165Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.90.6
58.158.7
Auto14.8
Teleop35.3
End10.8
red by 31.4
2634
#18
29.50.4
29.929.5
Auto2.7
Teleop23.8
End3.1
Second
47.00.6
44.244.8
Auto14.2
Teleop31.4
End1.4
red by 27.8
19.10.4
19.519.1
Auto6.5
Teleop13.0
End-0.3
Third
21.20.6
18.419.1
Auto6.5
Teleop12.9
End1.9
red by 4.0
6397
#17
17.30.4
17.617.2
Auto1.7
Teleop14.5
End1.1