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Red69
85419.0
316141.6
885021.6
Blue62
1063415.4
571923.2
492031.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions937740601001201401606962

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+13Teleop
+13Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave6
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points6
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +9
8Coral scored#9
27Coral points32
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#2
6Processor points0
16Net points8
22Algae points8
49Total teleop40
Reef
5L4#3
2L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points6
69Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3161
#15
41.60.3
41.241.0
Auto10.0
Teleop29.3
End2.2
red by 10.1
4920
#11
31.50.4
31.631.2
Auto7.6
Teleop20.8
End3.2
Second
8850
#14
21.60.3
21.220.9
Auto4.6
Teleop15.5
End1.4
blue by 1.7
5719
#20
23.20.3
23.323.0
Auto5.2
Teleop15.6
End2.4
Third
854
#6
19.00.3
18.618.3
Auto3.9
Teleop10.4
End4.7
red by 3.6
15.40.3
15.515.2
Auto5.6
Teleop9.8
End0.1