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Red208
368394.4
467881.6
926313.2
Blue152
909858.8
461714.8
403961.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions210131100150250300208152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
+58Teleop
+58Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave6
5Coral scored#9
27Coral points44
33Total auto50
TeleoperatedRed +75
27Coral scored#16
97Coral points56
4Processor algae#1
10Net algae#6
24Processor points6
40Net points24
64Algae points30
161Total teleop86
Reef
13L4#5
8L3#9
8L2#6
3L1 · trough#5
46Game pieces#32
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +56
0Foul points2
208Total score152

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
94.40.5
93.894.3
Auto25.7
Teleop65.6
End3.1
red by 32.7
61.70.4
61.261.6
Auto15.9
Teleop43.2
End2.6
Second
81.60.5
80.981.4
Auto20.7
Teleop52.5
End8.3
red by 22.7
58.80.4
58.358.7
Auto14.3
Teleop34.9
End9.7
Third
9263
#21
13.20.5
12.513.0
Auto4.0
Teleop7.6
End1.6
blue by 1.7
4617
#24
14.80.4
14.314.7
Auto4.4
Teleop8.6
End1.8