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Red58
926313.2
270242.1
1051410.9
Blue31
1016718.2
494032.0
461714.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions615102040801005831

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+19Teleop
+27Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
3Leave3
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points9
13Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +18
6Coral scored#3
23Coral points11
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
33Total teleop15
Reef
3L4#1
3L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#6
BargeRed +8
12Cage & park4
12Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points0
58Total score31

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.10.4
24.424.8
Auto8.9
Teleop27.7
End5.6
red by 10.1
4940
#18
32.01.8
17.515.7
Auto5.8
Teleop20.3
End5.9
Second
9263
#21
13.20.4
13.313.6
Auto4.0
Teleop7.6
End1.6
blue by 5.0
18.21.8
13.611.7
Auto5.8
Teleop11.5
End0.9
Third
10.90.6
15.115.6
Auto3.6
Teleop6.0
End1.3
blue by 3.9
4617
#24
14.81.8
16.414.6
Auto4.4
Teleop8.6
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed23%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsMissed50%Barge oddsMissed