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Red102
567212.6
136044.8
403961.7
Blue78
808928.4
77218.6
260933.7
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1276905010015020010278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+34Teleop
+24Endgame
+24Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points13
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +34
13Coral scored#6
46Coral points22
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
70Total teleop36
Reef
4L4#3
7L3#2
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
0Foul points0
102Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.70.5
49.448.8
Auto15.9
Teleop43.2
End2.6
red by 28.0
33.70.7
26.226.9
Auto4.9
Teleop20.4
End8.4
Second
1360
#12
44.80.5
41.540.9
Auto7.3
Teleop35.0
End2.5
red by 16.4
8089
#13
28.40.7
17.017.7
Auto5.6
Teleop14.9
End7.9
Third
5672
#15
12.60.9
19.218.3
Auto2.9
Teleop7.4
End2.4
blue by 6.0
772
#28
18.61.2
23.825.0
Auto5.0
Teleop11.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned79%Barge oddsEarned