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Red84
1021822.6
1061116.2
136044.8
Blue138
952518.1
403961.7
260933.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8310205015020025084138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+42
Endgame+54
Fouls+54
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave0
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +35
14Coral scored#18
49Coral points66
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#7
6Processor points12
16Net points28
22Algae points40
71Total teleop106
Reef
6L4#11
4L3#4
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +54
0Foul points0
84Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1360
#12
44.80.0
40.941.0
Auto7.3
Teleop35.0
End2.5
blue by 16.9
61.72.8
48.851.6
Auto15.9
Teleop43.2
End2.6
Second
22.60.1
22.122.1
Auto5.8
Teleop15.0
End1.8
blue by 11.0
33.72.8
26.929.7
Auto4.9
Teleop20.4
End8.4
Third
16.20.1
14.314.4
Auto4.8
Teleop9.2
End2.3
blue by 1.9
9525
#11
18.12.8
15.418.1
Auto5.5
Teleop10.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed86%Barge oddsEarned