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Red87
502436.2
270242.1
1016718.2
Blue15
461714.8
685414.5
77218.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73632040801008715

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+74Teleop
+72Endgame
+72Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave6
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points3
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +60
10Coral scored#0
36Coral points0
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
12Processor points0
12Net points0
24Algae points0
60Total teleop0
Reef
6L4#0
4L3#1
3L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
20Game pieces#1
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +72
0Foul points0
87Total score15

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.11.5
24.826.2
Auto8.9
Teleop27.7
End5.6
red by 23.5
772
#28
18.65.0
25.020.0
Auto5.0
Teleop11.5
End2.1
Second
36.21.5
28.429.9
Auto10.0
Teleop23.0
End3.1
red by 21.4
4617
#24
14.85.0
14.69.6
Auto4.4
Teleop8.6
End1.8
Third
18.22.5
11.714.2
Auto5.8
Teleop11.5
End0.9
red by 3.7
6854
#25
14.55.0
20.115.1
Auto2.6
Teleop11.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsMissed