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Red117
368394.4
926313.2
687512.8
Blue24
702210.8
567212.6
1053520.6
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14743010020025011724

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+93Teleop
+93Endgame
+93Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave6
5Coral scored#0
23Coral points0
23Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +76
17Coral scored#3
62Coral points12
3Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
18Processor points0
8Net points0
26Algae points0
88Total teleop12
Reef
11L4#1
5L3#1
4L2#0
2L1 · trough#1
27Game pieces#3
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +93
0Foul points0
117Total score24

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
94.40.3
84.283.9
Auto25.7
Teleop65.6
End3.1
red by 73.8
20.62.7
14.011.2
Auto4.3
Teleop14.6
End1.7
Second
9263
#21
13.20.3
13.613.3
Auto4.0
Teleop7.6
End1.6
red by 0.5
5672
#15
12.62.7
18.315.6
Auto2.9
Teleop7.4
End2.4
Third
6875
#27
12.80.5
24.023.4
Auto2.0
Teleop8.6
End2.1
red by 1.9
7022
#29
10.82.7
16.413.7
Auto2.7
Teleop6.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
54%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsMissed