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Red111
467881.6
494032.0
616215.6
Blue206
368394.4
502436.2
1021822.6
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9715750200111206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+85
Endgame+95
Fouls+95
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave3
3Coral scored#6
17Coral points30
23Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +75
14Coral scored#34
52Coral points121
3Processor algae#4
3Net algae#3
18Processor points24
12Net points12
30Algae points36
82Total teleop157
Reef
6L4#18
3L3#9
4L2#9
4L1 · trough#4
23Game pieces#47
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +95
0Foul points0
111Total score206

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.60.5
54.454.9
Auto20.7
Teleop52.5
End8.3
blue by 12.9
94.43.5
83.987.4
Auto25.7
Teleop65.6
End3.1
Second
4940
#18
32.00.5
16.016.5
Auto5.8
Teleop20.3
End5.9
blue by 4.3
36.23.5
29.933.5
Auto10.0
Teleop23.0
End3.1
Third
6162
#19
15.60.5
21.221.7
Auto6.3
Teleop8.8
End0.6
blue by 7.0
22.65.9
22.128.1
Auto5.8
Teleop15.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsEarned70%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
51%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsEarned