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Red52
808928.4
1051410.9
567212.6
Blue85
876431.0
591233.7
952518.1
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6087020401001201401605285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+31
Endgame+29
Fouls+33
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave9
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points10
12Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +24
5Coral scored#8
18Coral points28
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
0Processor points6
4Net points12
4Algae points18
22Total teleop46
Reef
3L4#4
2L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#14
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
2Foul points6
52Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8089
#13
28.40.6
21.921.3
Auto5.6
Teleop14.9
End7.9
blue by 5.3
33.70.1
30.630.7
Auto7.3
Teleop25.1
End1.3
Second
5672
#15
12.61.0
15.614.6
Auto2.9
Teleop7.4
End2.4
blue by 18.4
8764
#20
31.00.1
24.024.1
Auto6.4
Teleop14.3
End10.3
Third
10.91.0
15.914.9
Auto3.6
Teleop6.0
End1.3
blue by 7.2
9525
#11
18.10.1
18.118.2
Auto5.5
Teleop10.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned81%Barge oddsEarned