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Red184
909858.8
403961.7
491758.2
Blue74
687512.8
260933.7
747531.2
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1646605010015020025018474

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+45Auto
+92Teleop
+110Endgame
+110Fouls
AutonomousRed +45
9Leave0
8Coral scored#1
42Coral points6
51Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +47
23Coral scored#13
81Coral points48
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
109Total teleop62
Reef
9L4#3
10L3#5
8L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
37Game pieces#17
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +110
0Foul points0
184Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.72.4
51.654.0
Auto15.9
Teleop43.2
End2.6
red by 28.0
33.70.2
29.729.9
Auto4.9
Teleop20.4
End8.4
Second
58.82.4
42.144.5
Auto14.3
Teleop34.9
End9.7
red by 27.6
7475
#26
31.20.3
18.318.6
Auto4.5
Teleop24.1
End2.6
Third
58.22.4
54.156.5
Auto14.0
Teleop33.7
End10.5
red by 45.4
6875
#27
12.80.3
23.423.7
Auto2.0
Teleop8.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
35%Coral oddsEarned11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned61%Barge oddsMissed