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Red84
616215.6
702210.8
909858.8
Blue78
567212.6
613520.4
747531.2
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1105201502008478

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+6Teleop
+16Endgame
+6Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points10
13Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +6
12Coral scored#10
43Coral points35
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#1
6Processor points12
8Net points4
14Algae points16
57Total teleop51
Reef
6L4#4
3L3#3
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#15
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points10
84Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.80.8
49.849.0
Auto14.3
Teleop34.9
End9.7
red by 27.6
7475
#26
31.21.3
18.820.1
Auto4.5
Teleop24.1
End2.6
Second
6162
#19
15.61.4
21.920.5
Auto6.3
Teleop8.8
End0.6
blue by 4.7
6135
#16
20.40.8
17.318.1
Auto6.9
Teleop12.4
End1.1
Third
7022
#29
10.81.4
18.717.3
Auto2.7
Teleop6.3
End1.8
blue by 1.8
5672
#15
12.61.3
14.816.1
Auto2.9
Teleop7.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsMissed61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
20%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsMissed