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Red48
1021822.6
687512.8
77218.6
Blue84
591233.7
685414.5
494032.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77720501001504884

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+46
Endgame+48
Fouls+36
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave3
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points13
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +42
3Coral scored#13
10Coral points46
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
14Total teleop56
Reef
1L4#5
2L3#4
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
6Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +36
18Foul points6
48Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.64.8
28.323.5
Auto5.8
Teleop15.0
End1.8
blue by 11.1
33.71.3
30.832.1
Auto7.3
Teleop25.1
End1.3
Second
772
#28
18.64.8
16.011.2
Auto5.0
Teleop11.5
End2.1
blue by 13.3
4940
#18
32.01.3
17.618.8
Auto5.8
Teleop20.3
End5.9
Third
6875
#27
12.84.8
23.819.0
Auto2.0
Teleop8.6
End2.1
blue by 1.7
6854
#25
14.51.3
12.213.5
Auto2.6
Teleop11.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsMissed