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Red89
1061116.2
926313.2
403961.7
Blue90
491758.2
952518.1
502436.2
10%Model gave it90%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84124501001502008990

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+15Teleop
+3Endgame
Fouls+1
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave6
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points13
29Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +5
12Coral scored#9
44Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
54Total teleop49
Reef
7L4#4
3L3#4
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
2Foul points6
89Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.70.3
54.154.4
Auto15.9
Teleop43.2
End2.6
red by 3.5
58.21.8
56.654.8
Auto14.0
Teleop33.7
End10.5
Second
16.20.5
16.917.4
Auto4.8
Teleop9.2
End2.3
blue by 20.0
36.21.8
35.533.7
Auto10.0
Teleop23.0
End3.1
Third
9263
#21
13.20.3
11.611.9
Auto4.0
Teleop7.6
End1.6
blue by 5.0
9525
#11
18.11.8
19.217.4
Auto5.5
Teleop10.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed28%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsMissed82%Barge oddsEarned