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Red143
1053520.6
368394.4
260933.7
Blue138
1051410.9
467881.6
705819.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14610550200143138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
+11Teleop
+11Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave9
2Coral scored#6
10Coral points28
16Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +32
24Coral scored#14
85Coral points49
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#6
6Processor points6
20Net points24
26Algae points30
111Total teleop79
Reef
9L4#6
7L3#7
5L2#4
5L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#27
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points6
143Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
94.40.4
88.088.4
Auto25.7
Teleop65.6
End3.1
red by 12.9
81.62.5
63.866.3
Auto20.7
Teleop52.5
End8.3
Second
33.70.4
29.029.3
Auto4.9
Teleop20.4
End8.4
red by 14.5
7058
#17
19.12.5
21.423.9
Auto5.2
Teleop10.4
End3.5
Third
20.60.6
9.29.9
Auto4.3
Teleop14.6
End1.7
red by 9.7
10.92.5
13.315.8
Auto3.6
Teleop6.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
53%Coral oddsMissed27%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned65%Barge oddsEarned