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Red117
270242.1
808928.4
461714.8
Blue116
136044.8
1016718.2
876431.0
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72103050150200117116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+11
+1Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave3
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points9
19Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +18
11Coral scored#18
38Coral points64
1Processor algae#1
7Net algae#5
6Processor points6
28Net points20
34Algae points26
72Total teleop90
Reef
4L4#10
5L3#4
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#26
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points0
117Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.12.6
29.732.3
Auto8.9
Teleop27.7
End5.6
blue by 2.7
1360
#12
44.80.9
42.143.1
Auto7.3
Teleop35.0
End2.5
Second
8089
#13
28.42.6
23.425.9
Auto5.6
Teleop14.9
End7.9
blue by 2.6
8764
#20
31.00.9
26.227.1
Auto6.4
Teleop14.3
End10.3
Third
4617
#24
14.84.3
12.316.6
Auto4.4
Teleop8.6
End1.8
blue by 3.3
18.21.5
18.820.3
Auto5.8
Teleop11.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed20%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned57%Barge oddsEarned