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Red88
747531.2
136044.8
952518.1
Blue143
616215.6
567212.6
368394.4
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions861505010020088143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+59
Endgame+57
Fouls+55
AutonomousBlue +18
3Leave3
3Coral scored#7
16Coral points34
19Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +41
10Coral scored#18
35Coral points64
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
12Processor points12
8Net points20
20Algae points32
55Total teleop96
Reef
4L4#7
4L3#9
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
17Game pieces#32
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +55
8Foul points6
88Total score143

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1360
#12
44.80.7
43.142.3
Auto7.3
Teleop35.0
End2.5
blue by 49.6
94.40.0
88.488.4
Auto25.7
Teleop65.6
End3.1
Second
7475
#26
31.21.2
20.118.9
Auto4.5
Teleop24.1
End2.6
red by 15.5
6162
#19
15.60.0
20.520.5
Auto6.3
Teleop8.8
End0.6
Third
9525
#11
18.10.7
17.416.7
Auto5.5
Teleop10.3
End2.3
red by 5.5
5672
#15
12.60.0
16.116.1
Auto2.9
Teleop7.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed56%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed53%Barge oddsMissed