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Red58
260933.7
702210.8
461714.8
Blue108
1021822.6
613520.4
270242.1
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6984406010012058108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+50
Endgame+50
Fouls+50
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave6
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points17
6Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +33
7Coral scored#12
24Coral points43
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
38Total teleop71
Reef
2L4#4
2L3#6
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
0Foul points0
58Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.70.7
29.328.6
Auto4.9
Teleop20.4
End8.4
blue by 8.4
42.11.9
32.334.2
Auto8.9
Teleop27.7
End5.6
Second
4617
#24
14.81.2
16.615.4
Auto4.4
Teleop8.6
End1.8
blue by 7.8
22.63.1
23.526.6
Auto5.8
Teleop15.0
End1.8
Third
7022
#29
10.81.2
17.316.1
Auto2.7
Teleop6.3
End1.8
blue by 9.6
6135
#16
20.41.9
18.120.0
Auto6.9
Teleop12.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsMissed80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsEarned