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Red105
502436.2
909858.8
685414.5
Blue62
1051410.9
1053520.6
591233.7
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11360010015020010562

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+43Teleop
+45Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave9
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points7
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +36
12Coral scored#9
42Coral points34
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
18Processor points6
20Net points4
38Algae points10
80Total teleop44
Reef
6L4#3
5L3#3
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#12
BargeRed +2
2Cage & park0
2Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
0Foul points2
105Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.80.6
49.049.6
Auto14.3
Teleop34.9
End9.7
red by 25.1
33.70.2
32.132.4
Auto7.3
Teleop25.1
End1.3
Second
36.20.6
33.734.3
Auto10.0
Teleop23.0
End3.1
red by 15.6
20.60.2
9.910.1
Auto4.3
Teleop14.6
End1.7
Third
6854
#25
14.51.0
13.514.5
Auto2.6
Teleop11.0
End0.9
red by 3.6
10.90.2
15.816.1
Auto3.6
Teleop6.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
28%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed