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Red249
467881.6
136044.8
368394.4
Blue176
747531.2
494032.0
491758.2
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2279450150200250300249176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+85Teleop
+73Endgame
+73Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
9Leave9
11Coral scored#4
56Coral points21
65Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +50
32Coral scored#26
114Coral points92
4Processor algae#2
8Net algae#4
24Processor points12
32Net points16
56Algae points28
170Total teleop120
Reef
17L4#13
7L3#7
10L2#6
9L1 · trough#4
55Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +73
0Foul points0
249Total score176

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
94.42.0
88.490.4
Auto25.7
Teleop65.6
End3.1
red by 36.3
58.24.2
54.058.2
Auto14.0
Teleop33.7
End10.5
Second
81.63.2
69.272.4
Auto20.7
Teleop52.5
End8.3
red by 49.6
4940
#18
32.06.6
21.828.4
Auto5.8
Teleop20.3
End5.9
Third
1360
#12
44.82.0
42.344.4
Auto7.3
Teleop35.0
End2.5
red by 13.6
7475
#26
31.26.6
18.925.4
Auto4.5
Teleop24.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
94%Coral oddsEarned13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsEarned48%Barge oddsEarned