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Red89
613520.4
705819.1
808928.4
Blue83
270242.1
567212.6
77218.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79710501001502008983

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+12Auto
Teleop+10
0Endgame0
+6Fouls
AutonomousRed +12
0Leave3
4Coral scored#1
18Coral points3
18Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +22
9Coral scored#12
31Coral points43
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
6Processor points12
12Net points16
18Algae points28
49Total teleop71
Reef
5L4#4
5L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#19
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
6Foul points0
89Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8089
#13
28.40.4
26.026.4
Auto5.6
Teleop14.9
End7.9
blue by 13.7
42.10.7
34.234.9
Auto8.9
Teleop27.7
End5.6
Second
6135
#16
20.40.4
20.020.3
Auto6.9
Teleop12.4
End1.1
red by 1.8
772
#28
18.61.1
14.115.3
Auto5.0
Teleop11.5
End2.1
Third
7058
#17
19.10.6
22.623.1
Auto5.2
Teleop10.4
End3.5
red by 6.5
5672
#15
12.61.1
16.117.2
Auto2.9
Teleop7.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
73%Barge oddsEarned56%Barge oddsMissed