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Red35
1061116.2
687512.8
1016718.2
Blue105
952518.1
909858.8
1053520.6
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5788020408010012014016035105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+62
Endgame+74
Fouls+70
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave3
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points20
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +48
3Coral scored#14
10Coral points50
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
6Processor points6
0Net points8
6Algae points14
16Total teleop64
Reef
2L4#7
1L3#5
1L2#4
0L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +70
6Foul points2
35Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.22.6
20.517.9
Auto5.8
Teleop11.5
End0.9
blue by 40.7
58.81.8
49.651.4
Auto14.3
Teleop34.9
End9.7
Second
16.22.6
16.113.5
Auto4.8
Teleop9.2
End2.3
blue by 4.4
20.62.8
10.112.9
Auto4.3
Teleop14.6
End1.7
Third
6875
#27
12.82.6
17.615.0
Auto2.0
Teleop8.6
End2.1
blue by 5.3
9525
#11
18.11.8
16.718.4
Auto5.5
Teleop10.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsMissed84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
23%Barge oddsEarned59%Barge oddsEarned