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Red127
403961.7
1021822.6
876431.0
Blue66
1051410.9
702210.8
591233.7
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132695010015020012766

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+49Teleop
+55Endgame
+61Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave6
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points3
26Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +32
19Coral scored#11
67Coral points39
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
89Total teleop57
Reef
8L4#4
6L3#5
5L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
28Game pieces#16
BargeRed +6
6Cage & park0
6Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +61
6Foul points0
127Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.70.7
54.555.2
Auto15.9
Teleop43.2
End2.6
red by 28.0
33.70.1
32.432.2
Auto7.3
Teleop25.1
End1.3
Second
8764
#20
31.00.7
26.327.0
Auto6.4
Teleop14.3
End10.3
red by 20.1
10.90.1
16.115.9
Auto3.6
Teleop6.0
End1.3
Third
22.61.1
26.627.7
Auto5.8
Teleop15.0
End1.8
red by 11.8
7022
#29
10.80.1
16.116.0
Auto2.7
Teleop6.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
24%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
91%Barge oddsMissed45%Barge oddsMissed