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Red156
1061116.2
368394.4
494032.0
Blue158
270242.1
747531.2
909858.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15412250100200250156158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+10Teleop
0Endgame0
Fouls+2
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
4Coral scored#4
20Coral points20
26Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +7
24Coral scored#19
86Coral points69
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#5
12Processor points18
16Net points20
28Algae points38
114Total teleop107
Reef
8L4#8
8L3#8
7L2#5
5L1 · trough#2
34Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points2
156Total score158

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
94.41.2
90.491.6
Auto25.7
Teleop65.6
End3.1
red by 35.6
58.82.8
51.454.1
Auto14.3
Teleop34.9
End9.7
Second
4940
#18
32.01.7
28.430.1
Auto5.8
Teleop20.3
End5.9
blue by 10.1
42.12.8
34.937.6
Auto8.9
Teleop27.7
End5.6
Third
16.21.7
13.515.2
Auto4.8
Teleop9.2
End2.3
blue by 14.9
7475
#26
31.24.0
25.429.4
Auto4.5
Teleop24.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
55%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned66%Barge oddsEarned