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Red81
77218.6
136044.8
702210.8
Blue128
1053520.6
491758.2
876431.0
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87115406010014016018020081128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+29
Endgame+51
Fouls+47
AutonomousBlue +13
6Leave0
3Coral scored#7
14Coral points33
20Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +16
9Coral scored#16
31Coral points57
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
51Total teleop67
Reef
5L4#7
3L3#8
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
16Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +47
6Foul points2
81Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1360
#12
44.80.4
44.444.0
Auto7.3
Teleop35.0
End2.5
blue by 13.4
58.21.5
58.259.7
Auto14.0
Teleop33.7
End10.5
Second
772
#28
18.60.6
15.314.7
Auto5.0
Teleop11.5
End2.1
blue by 12.4
8764
#20
31.01.5
27.028.4
Auto6.4
Teleop14.3
End10.3
Third
7022
#29
10.80.6
16.015.4
Auto2.7
Teleop6.3
End1.8
blue by 9.8
20.62.1
12.915.0
Auto4.3
Teleop14.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsMissed80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed92%Barge oddsEarned